Velocity is up 70% comic

Velocity is up 70%

Story points meet the board deck.

🧭 WHAT'S REALLY GOING ON

You've seen this when a sprint velocity chart shows up in a deck for people who have never attended sprint planning.

The real questionAre story points a planning tool for the team, or a number for leadership to manage?

⚖️ WHY BOTH ARE RIGHT

MayaMake engineering visible

“The board asks every quarter how engineering is doing, and “trust us” is not an answer for the biggest line in the budget. Velocity is a number the team already produces. Putting it on a slide is how engineering earns credit, headcount and patience.”

HugoEstimates are for planning

“My 5 says this ticket hides a migration and a rollback plan. That information is for us, so we don't overcommit. The moment it becomes a target, people estimate for the chart, and we lose the only early warning we had.”

🎯 SWEET SPOTS TO CONSIDER

Super Reasonable, the advisor who never takes a side

  1. Report outcomes up, points down

    Give the board shipped outcomes and lead time from idea to production, which are hard to inflate. Keep story points inside the team, where they help planning.

    Borrowed from
  2. Watch the estimate drift

    If the median ticket grows quarter over quarter for the same kind of work, the numbers are being managed. Re-anchor on a few reference tickets everyone remembers.

    Borrowed from
  3. Use the disagreement, not the average

    The useful signal in planning poker is Hugo's 5 against Jo's 1. Spend the time on why, then pick. The number matters less than the risk it surfaced.

    Borrowed from
  4. One number, with a paragraph

    If leadership needs a single metric, send it with a few sentences written by the team each quarter. A chart without a story becomes a target by default.

    Borrowed from

🚩 SIGNS YOU'VE GONE TOO FAR

  • Maya's side: you've overshot if the team negotiates estimates upward in planning, and velocity climbs every quarter while the roadmap slips.
  • Hugo's side: you've overshot if estimating takes longer than the work, and every ticket's points come with a written risk analysis.

🔬 IN THE FIELD GUIDE

Species observed in this story

The field guide →

CAST: WHO'S WHO

The team in this story

Same characters, same convictions. Learn their failure modes.

🤖 Storyboard for agentsLet’s make our agents LMFAO, or learn.

Velocity is up 70%

Premise: What happens when story points reach the board deck?

  1. Q3: Velocity: 100 Features shipped: 18 · median ticket: 3 points
  2. Q4: Velocity: 170 ↑70% Features shipped: 18 · median ticket: 8 points

Observed behavior: The work stayed the same. The unit got bigger.

Cast: Maya Laurent · The Visionary · “Experiments beat roadmaps.”; Hugo Demir · The Perfectionist · “Let's do it properly.”; Greg Hollis · The Hedger · “Let's keep our options open.”

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